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Research Paper
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The Altered Nuclear Order in the Wake of the Russia-Ukraine War

Authors
Rebecca Davis Gibbons, Stephen Herzog, Wilfred Wan, and Doreen Horschig
Back to publications
American Ƶ of Arts and Sciences

Table of Contents

Nuclear Disarmament and Russia’s War on Ukraine: The Ascendance and Uncertain Future of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons

Introduction
More Nuclear Proliferation or More Nuclear Disarmament?
State-Level Evidence
The Public and Nuclear Disarmament
The Nuclear Use Question
The TPNW in a World of Increased Nuclear Salience

Wither Nuclear Risk Reduction?

Introduction
Risk Reduction Concepts and Challenges
Risk Reduction in Practice
The Post–February 24, 2022, Landscape
Recommendations to Take Risk Reduction Forward
Conclusion

A Turn to Nuclear Counterproliferation: Consequences of a Deteriorating Nonproliferation Regime

Traditional Nonproliferation Tools
Preventing Horizontal Proliferation
Quantitative Trends and Concerns in Counterproliferation
Conclusion and Policy Implications